After 7 Champions League matches, Napoli sit 25th, currently outside the automatic qualification places and just inside the playoff zone. Teams in 24th, 23rd, and 22nd all have 8 points, meaning Napoli must win their final match against Chelsea — or hope that a draw is enough, depending on other results. But when we analyze the numbers using expected points (xPTS) derived from expected goals (xG), the picture becomes clearer. 📈 What the Data Shows: Actual position: 25th Actual points: 7 xPTS-ba