UK warns Iran against economic disruption amid US-Israeli tensions. No US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026 at 83.2% ...

Brent crude tops $108 amid US-Iran tensions. Crude oil all-time high by April 30 at 0.5% YES, down from 2% yesterday.

Arthur Hayes predicts Bitcoin will reach $125K by December due to war spending. Bitcoin at $200K by December 2026 at 4.8% YES ...

Hostilities persist with ongoing Israeli airstrikes and Hezbollah’s retaliatory attacks, which makes a ceasefire announcement ...

Bank of Japan is expected to hold rates at 0.5% amid inflation concerns. Rate decrease by April 2026 at 0.1% YES.

Bitcoin worth $87.9M moved to Kraken, signaling potential sell-off. Bitcoin at $200K by December 31, 2026 at 4.8% YES.

Kevin Warsh's Fed chair nomination faces Senate resistance, with confirmation by May 15 at 92.3% YES and rate cuts in 2026 at ...

Trump is unlikely to accept Iran's proposal, causing market odds for lifting the Hormuz blockade by May 31 to drop to 57.5% ...

Tehran condemned the US seizure of oil tankers as piracy. Iran successfully targeting ships by April 30 at 80% YES.

Iran strengthens ties with Russia, complicating US-Iran nuclear deal talks. US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30 now at 1.1% YES.

Nvidia now represents 4.96% of the MSCI All Country World Index (ACWI), surpassing Japan’s 4.94%. The June 30 market for ...

Bitmine becomes the largest ETH staker with 3.8M ETH, raising centralization concerns. Ethereum above $1,900 on April 25 at ...