Wall Street veteran Jim Paulsen said tech is the only bright spot in the economy, comparing the bifurcation to the Mag 7 vs.

The US economy grew at a much slower pace in the final months of 2025 as the historic government shutdown weighed on economic activity, ending a year that saw the weakest growth since the pandemic.

Economic models spent much of 2025 flashing red, yet the year ended with a mix of solid growth, jittery factories, and stock indexes flirting with records. President Donald Trump called it proof that ...

Building on Ben Bernanke’s widely used recession probability model, we invented a better model using exactly the same ...

Walmart WMT CFO John David Rainey doesn’t mince words, citing a “hiring recession,” rising student loan delinquencies and trade uncertainty as reasons for a cautious FY2027 outlook. Despite Walmart ...

The U.S. economy managed to navigate a volatile 2025 without collapsing, but the cumulative effects of ongoing trade tensions and persistent inflation keep concerns about a 2026 recession on some ...